Wald inequality


The Wald inequality is an inequality related to the likelihood function L\mathcal{L}. It states that if θt\theta_{t} is the true value of a model parameter θ\theta, then

Eθt[logL(θt;X)]>Eθt[logL(θ;X)]\text{E}_{\theta_{t}}[\log \mathcal{L}(\theta_{t};\mathbf{X})]>\text{E}_{\theta_{t}}[\log \mathcal{L}(\theta;\mathbf{X})]

for all θθt\theta\neq \theta_{t} and where X\mathbf{X} is the random variable that generated the sample. The Expected value of the log-likelihood of the true value is always higher than any non-true value.

This inequality can be proven using Jensen's inequality.